Breakthrough Tracker record

A preprint gives a counterexample to the stable forking conjecture

James Freitag and Scott Mutchnik construct a simple theory whose forking is not always witnessed by a stable formula, contradicting the stable forking conjecture posed by Hart, Kim and Pillay in 1996.

← Back to the filtered Breakthrough Tracker

Stable ID
math-stable-forking-conjecture-counterexample-2026
Revision
math-stable-forking-conjecture-counterexample-2026.v2
Field
Mathematics · Model theory and mathematical logic
Evidence
Tier 1 · Peer reviewed: No
Record state
Provisional · Revised provisional claimed counterexample
Last checked

AI role

The authors describe the result as AI-generated: guided prompts to GPT-5.6 Sol produced the counterexample and supporting proof route. The authors wrote and checked the final arguments and accept responsibility for them.

Record details

Problem or result
The 1996 stable forking conjecture in simple theories
Authors
James Freitag and Scott Mutchnik
Institutions
University of Illinois Chicago
Result date
First submitted August 31; substantially revised October 19, 2026

Why it matters

Stable forking is a prominent proposed bridge between stable and simple model theory. A valid counterexample would settle the general conjecture negatively and sharpen the boundary between the two.

Limits

This remains a non-peer-reviewed preprint without an independent specialist correctness assessment, formal proof or separate construction. Version 2 corrects an algebraic sign in the Ore-condition argument, expands the manuscript from 21 to 26 pages and adds a claimed negative answer to Ziegler's one-variable reduction question without changing the headline counterexample.

Sources

  1. Primary: Freitag and Mutchnik stable-forking counterexample, version 2

Correction and revision history

  1. 2026-09-04 — Added after primary-source, scope, status, AI-role and limitation review.
  2. 2026-10-22 — Recorded arXiv version 2's corrected Ore-condition sign, expanded motivation and additional Ziegler-question result; retained provisional status because no independent mathematical validation was located.

Machine-readable: JSON v1 · CSV v1 · Schema v1

This individual record remains noindex until a story-specific featured image passes Kingy’s rendered-pixel visual review. The source-linked tracker hub remains the public index.