Breakthrough Tracker record

A preprint gives a counterexample to the stable forking conjecture

James Freitag and Scott Mutchnik construct a simple theory whose forking is not always witnessed by a stable formula, contradicting the stable forking conjecture posed by Hart, Kim and Pillay in 1996.

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Stable ID
math-stable-forking-conjecture-counterexample-2026
Revision
math-stable-forking-conjecture-counterexample-2026.v1
Field
Mathematics · Model theory and mathematical logic
Evidence
Tier 1 · Peer reviewed: No
Record state
Provisional · Provisional claimed counterexample
Last checked

AI role

The authors describe the result as AI-generated: guided prompts to GPT-5.6 Sol produced the counterexample and supporting proof route. The authors wrote and checked the final arguments and accept responsibility for them.

Record details

Problem or result
The 1996 stable forking conjecture in simple theories
Authors
James Freitag and Scott Mutchnik
Institutions
University of Illinois Chicago
Result date
First-version preprint submitted August 31, 2026

Why it matters

Stable forking is a prominent proposed bridge between stable and simple model theory. A valid counterexample would settle the general conjecture negatively and sharpen the boundary between the two.

Limits

This is a 21-page, non-peer-reviewed preprint. No independent specialist assessment, formal proof or separate construction was located, so the negative resolution remains provisional.

Sources

  1. Primary: Freitag and Mutchnik, stable-forking counterexample

Correction and revision history

  1. 2026-09-04 — Added after primary-source, scope, status, AI-role and limitation review.

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